China’s Trade Map Shifts Inland: Anhui Joins the Trillion‑RMB Club, Driving a New Industrial Geography

Anhui became the first central Chinese province to surpass 1 trillion RMB in annual trade in 2025, joining eight coastal provinces already in that bracket and reflecting a broader geographic rebalancing of China’s export base. The province’s surge is powered by large‑scale manufacturing — notably automobiles, batteries and photovoltaics — industrial revenue growth, and deeper market diversification into ASEAN and Belt‑and‑Road countries.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1China’s total goods trade reached 45.47 trillion RMB in 2025; nine provinces/municipalities now exceed 1 trillion RMB in annual trade.
  • 2Anhui crossed 1.0136 trillion RMB in trade in 2025, growing 17.3% year‑on‑year and becoming the first central province to do so.
  • 3Industrial scale and product diversification — led by 1.228 million vehicle exports and the fast‑growing 'new three' of EVs, lithium batteries and PV — underpin Anhui’s rise.
  • 4Henan (935.67 billion RMB) and Hubei (834.01 billion RMB) are close contenders in the central region, setting up intensified provincial competition.
  • 5Anhui’s trade gains reflect a structural shift in China toward stronger inland manufacturing hubs and more diversified overseas markets, with implications for supply chains and foreign investment.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Anhui’s ascent to the trillion‑RMB threshold is more than a provincial milestone; it is a marker of China’s evolving industrial and trade geography. Central provinces are no longer merely hinterlands feeding coastal exporters — they are building vertically integrated manufacturing clusters capable of serving both low‑end and high‑end segments across global markets. For Beijing’s strategy of strengthening the domestic market and stabilising external demand (the ‘dual circulation’ framework), the inland rise reduces regional imbalances and makes the national export base less dependent on a handful of coastal hubs. Internationally, it means global firms should reassess supplier footprints and market opportunities beyond the traditional eastern provinces, while policymakers should watch whether this momentum translates into sustained innovation and productivity gains rather than a temporary, demand‑driven enlargement of scale. The next test will be resilience: whether Anhui and its central peers can convert volume gains into higher‑value, technology‑intensive activities that withstand cyclical external shocks and shifting trade policy regimes.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

China’s foreign‑trade landscape expanded in 2025 as nine provinces and municipalities crossed the 1 trillion RMB mark in annual import‑export turnover, a sign that the country’s economic gravity is shifting beyond the traditional eastern seaboard. Nationally, China’s total goods trade reached 45.47 trillion RMB, up 3.8% year‑on‑year, while Guangdong remained in a league of its own with more than 9 trillion RMB. Anhui’s breakthrough to 1.0136 trillion RMB made it the first central province to reach that threshold and the ninth subnational economy overall to enter the "trillion‑RMB club."

Anhui’s performance was striking in both speed and structure: total trade grew 17.3% year‑on‑year, outpacing the other top ten trading provinces, with exports of 682.31 billion RMB and imports of 331.25 billion RMB. The province’s December trade alone hit a monthly record of 111.84 billion RMB, up 35.9%, underscoring an acceleration late in the year. Over the longer "14th Five‑Year" period Anhui’s trade has compounded rapidly, climbing from 545.15 billion RMB at the end of the previous planning cycle to more than 1 trillion today.

The engine behind Anhui’s surge is industrial upgrading grounded in mass manufacturing rather than a narrow pursuit of premium niches. Anhui exported 1.228 million vehicles (including chassis) in 2025, the first Chinese province to surpass one million annual auto exports, and its electric vehicle shipments alone generated 60.85 billion RMB — a more than threefold increase. The province’s "new three" industries — electric vehicles, lithium‑ion batteries and photovoltaic products — together accounted for 101.83 billion RMB of exports, nearly 15% of provincial shipments, while mechanical and electrical goods now make up over 70% of exports.

Industrial scale is visible in Anhui’s large enterprises above the national revenue threshold ("designated‑size industrial enterprises"), which recorded revenue of 5.27 trillion RMB in January–November 2025, placing the province fifth nationwide and the only inland economy in that top quintile. That scale reflects sustained catch‑up: Anhui’s designated‑size industrial revenue rose from 3.8 trillion RMB in 2020 to around 5.5 trillion RMB in 2024. Officials and local scholars credit a pragmatic, full‑range manufacturing strategy that supplies both low‑cost and higher‑spec products to a broad set of foreign markets.

Trade diversification has also been essential. Anhui saw positive trade growth with 189 countries and regions in 2025, with ASEAN as its largest partner at 141.5 billion RMB and Belt‑and‑Road economies accounting for a majority — 550.33 billion RMB, or 54% of provincial trade. Local policy has actively promoted outbound market development and cross‑border industrial links, while state and private capital — including a heavy year of listed‑company acquisitions by local state capital — have been redeployed into automotive parts, displays and smart terminals to deepen supply chains.

Anhui’s rise has real regional consequences. Henan, historically the central region’s trade leader, moved within sight of the trillion mark at 935.67 billion RMB in 2025 after posting 14.1% growth, driven by upgrading in electronics and a sharp rise in electric‑vehicle exports. Hubei, another interior heavyweight, recorded 8.34 trillion RMB in trade and the highest growth in the central region in 2025, and is mobilizing large exhibition and market‑development campaigns for 2026. The competition among Anhui, Henan and Hubei to gain scale and industrial density is likely to intensify and will shape inward investment flows, talent allocation and provincial industrial policy.

For foreign firms and policymakers, the takeaway is that China’s geographic economic map is becoming more complex. The tilt toward inland provinces with deepening manufacturing ecosystems reduces the exclusive primacy of coastal hubs, offering new sourcing opportunities but also spreading strategic industrial capabilities across a broader territory. Yet risks remain: continued momentum will depend on external demand for EVs, batteries and PV products, the resilience of global supply chains, and the provinces’ ability to climb value chains through sustained innovation rather than only scale or cost advantages.

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