Iran Deploys 'Underground Missile City' and New MRBM, Putting Israel and Gulf Bases in Range

Iran's IRGC says it has placed a new Khorramshahr-4 medium-range missile in underground facilities and opened a fortified 'missile city,' claiming a 2,000 km range that would reach Israel and US bases in the Gulf. The move boosts survivability and signalling leverage but is likely to raise tensions, complicate regional defence planning and challenge arms-control efforts.

The Azadi Tower in Tehran captured with the sunrise illuminating its iconic architecture.

Key Takeaways

  • 1IRGC announced deployment of a new medium-range ballistic missile, Khorramshahr-4, to underground facilities with a claimed 2,000 km range.
  • 2A newly unveiled underground 'missile city' enhances the survivability of Iran's missile force and complicates adversary targeting.
  • 3Tehran frames the shift as a move from defensive to potentially pre-emptive or large-scale retaliatory postures after a confrontation with Israel last June.
  • 4Claims are difficult to independently verify; if accurate, the deployment raises strategic dilemmas for Israel, US forces in the Gulf, and regional partners.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The announcement is as much strategic signalling as it is a force-modernisation milestone. By publicising an underground missile complex and a long-range MRBM, Iran seeks to enlarge its deterrent footprint without crossing nuclear thresholds, thereby pressuring adversaries while preserving a degree of strategic ambiguity. That ambiguity complicates intelligence assessments and makes crisis management riskier: rivals may respond by hardening defences, accelerating strike planning, or moving to tighter sanctions and diplomatic isolation. Over time, sustained advances in Iran's conventional long-range strike capabilities could catalyse an arms-accumulation dynamic across the Middle East and force a costly recalibration of US and allied military posture in the region.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has announced the subterranean deployment of a new medium-range ballistic missile, the Khorramshahr-4, and the inauguration of an underground "missile city" at its aerospace headquarters. Tehran says the missile has a range of about 2,000 kilometres, which would put Israel and US military positions in the Gulf well within striking distance. The announcements were carried by the state-linked Fars news agency and picked up by international wire services.

The deployment marks a symbolic and practical shift in Iran's presentation of its conventional strike capabilities. Housing missiles underground improves survivability against pre-emptive strikes and complicates an adversary's targeting, while touting a 2,000 km range signals an ability to threaten targets across the eastern Mediterranean and much of the Middle East. Iranian officials have framed the changes in doctrine as a move away from a purely defensive posture toward one that claims the option of pre-emptive or large-scale retaliatory strikes.

The timing and tone of the announcement are important: Tehran cites a brief, intense confrontation with Israel last June as a catalyst for altering its military posture. Washington has long urged Tehran to limit the range and diversification of its missile forces, arguing that such capabilities undermine regional stability and arms-control efforts. Still, Iran has repeatedly publicised new weapons and test successes in ways that analysts inside and outside the region treat with caution; independent verification of some technical claims is frequently lacking.

If the IRGC's claims are accurate, the operational consequences would be significant. A survivable inventory of medium-range ballistic missiles creates dilemmas for Israel and US forces in the Gulf—straining air-defence architectures, raising the cost of contingency planning, and increasing pressure for forward-deployed sensors and interceptors. It may also sharpen incentives for regional partners to deepen defence ties with Washington or pursue their own countermeasures, including missile-defence purchases or asymmetric capabilities.

Beyond immediate force-posture effects, Tehran's announcement is also a signalling exercise aimed at multiple audiences: domestic constituencies, regional rivals and international mediators. By dramatizing a fortified and mobile missile force, Iran seeks to bolster deterrence while complicating diplomatic options for adversaries who might contemplate strikes or tighter sanctions. At the same time, such signalling risks spurring escalation cycles that make crises harder to manage and diplomacy more fraught.

The international response is likely to be measured but critical. The United States and Israel will scrutinise the technical claims and consider adjustments to defence posture and intelligence collection. Regional states, particularly Gulf monarchies, will weigh enhancements to their defences and deeper security cooperation with external powers. Diplomats engaged on Iran's nuclear file will view the move as an additional complication to efforts to stabilise Tehran's relationship with the West and to erect confidence-building measures in the region.

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