SMIC Posts Healthy 2025 Profit Gain as Chinese Foundry Doubles Down on Capacity — but Growth Outlook Is Cautious

SMIC reported a 2025 revenue increase of about 16% and a 36% rise in net profit, driven by higher wafer shipments, improved utilisation and a better product mix. The firm spent $8.1 billion on capital expenditure in 2025 and guided for flat first‑quarter sales and an 18–20% gross margin, while forecasting full‑year growth above its peers and capex roughly unchanged.

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Key Takeaways

  • 12025 unaudited revenue RMB 67.3bn ($9.33bn), up ~16% year‑on‑year; net profit up 36%.
  • 2Fourth‑quarter revenue RMB 17.8bn; gross margin for the year improved to 21%.
  • 3Capital expenditure reached $8.1bn in 2025 as SMIC expands capacity; year‑end 8‑inch equivalent monthly capacity 1.059 million wafers.
  • 4Average capacity utilisation rose to 93.5%; shipments ~9.7 million wafers in 2025.
  • 5Q1 2026 guidance: revenue flat quarter‑on‑quarter, gross margin 18–20%; full‑year target: revenue growth above industry peers and capex roughly flat.

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Strategic Analysis

SMIC’s results illustrate China’s semiconductor strategy in microcosm: accelerating capital investment and capacity build‑out to capture reshoring demand, while accepting slower progress at the technology frontier due to export controls. The $8.1bn capex commitment — nearly as large as annual sales — is a clear signal that SMIC and its backers are prioritising scale and self‑sufficiency over short‑term returns. High utilisation of mature nodes suggests near‑term resilience, but exposure to global memory cycles and limited access to cutting‑edge EUV‑enabled nodes will constrain margin expansion and the pace at which SMIC can move up the technology ladder. For global supply chains, a stronger SMIC means more local sourcing in China, altering competitive dynamics for regional foundries and equipment suppliers; for investors, the story is one of heavy capital intensity and risk — steady demand today offset by potential cyclicality tomorrow.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

China’s largest contract chipmaker, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), closed 2025 with stronger earnings and heavy investment, even as it signals a cautious start to 2026.

The company reported an unaudited full-year revenue of RMB 67.3 billion (about $9.33 billion), up roughly 16 percent from 2024, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.0 billion, a 36 percent year‑on‑year increase. Fourth‑quarter revenue was RMB 17.8 billion, up nearly 12 percent from a year earlier; gross margin rose to 21 percent for the full year, and the firm said non‑recurring adjustments lifted its underlying net profit markedly.

SMIC’s production metrics underlined robust demand for the nodes it serves: year‑end equivalent 8‑inch monthly logic capacity reached 1.059 million wafers, shipments totaled about 9.7 million wafers for the year, and average capacity utilisation climbed to 93.5 percent. The company also disclosed an $8.1 billion capital expenditure in 2025 — a very large sum relative to its sales — reflecting continued wafer‑fab expansion and equipment spending.

Management framed the results as a product of two structural forces. On one hand, China’s semiconductor supply‑chain reshoring and domestic procurement pushed more work to local fabs; on the other, the cyclical weakness in memory markets presents demand uncertainty. For the first quarter of 2026 SMIC guided to revenue roughly flat quarter‑on‑quarter and a gross‑margin band of 18–20 percent. For the full year the company expects revenue growth to exceed the peer average and capex to be broadly similar to 2025, barring major external shocks.

Investors gave the update a mutedly positive reception: SMIC’s A‑shares finished higher by about 1.1 percent and its H‑shares rose about 1.7 percent on the day. The results highlight a familiar trade‑off for Chinese foundries — heavy, near‑term capital outlays to expand and upgrade capacity while navigating geopolitical limits on advanced‑node kit and the macro cycles of chip demand.

For international audiences, the numbers matter for three reasons. First, SMIC’s rising utilisation and revenue underscore sustained domestic demand for mature and specialty nodes that global tensions have made strategically important. Second, the company’s scale of investment suggests Beijing‑backed ambitions to reduce reliance on foreign fabrication, even if progress at leading nodes will be gradual. Third, the simultaneous acknowledgement of memory‑cycle headwinds signals that SMIC is not insulated from global semiconductor volatility, and that its growth will hinge on customers’ capital spending and product mix.

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