# population projection

China’s Newborn Share Falls Below 7% — The Consequences of a Rapidly Shrinking Population

China’s 2025 population data show births falling to roughly 7.92 million and the country’s share of global newborns dipping to about 6.12%. Persistent sub‑replacement fertility and regional disparities mean the population is projected to shrink further, forcing policy shifts toward productivity, social support and possibly immigration.