Exhibition Mogul’s Baijiu Gamble Unravels as 132m‑Yuan Tax Bill Exposes Fragile Empire

Hengchang, the baijiu venture of exhibition magnate Deng Hong, has been hit with 132 million yuan in tax arrears amid collapsing prices, channel breakdowns and excess inventory. The case exposes larger vulnerabilities in China’s premium sauce‑flavour liquor boom, where heavy marketing, property ties and leverage masked weak consumer fundamentals.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1Two Hengchang companies tied to Deng Hong owe a combined 132 million yuan in unpaid taxes, including roughly 92.8 million yuan in consumption tax.
  • 2Hengchang’s flagship product, once priced at 1,599 yuan, now trades at 300–400 yuan on mainstream platforms, producing severe price inversion and dealer losses.
  • 3Production capacity for sauce‑flavour baijiu contracted 13.33% in 2024, reflecting falling demand and contributing to excess inventories.
  • 4Debt‑settlement transfers from property partners and previous high‑profile sponsorships helped inflate short‑term sales but have damaged long‑term brand credibility.
  • 5The episode illustrates a broader industry correction affecting mid‑sized premium liquor makers across Guizhou.

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Strategic Analysis

Hengchang’s unraveling matters because it crystallises three enduring risks for China’s consumer industries: leverage‑driven brand building, distribution dependency on linked sectors (notably property), and fragile pricing that can be destroyed by distressed supply. For policy‑makers and creditors, the visible tax enforcement action signals tighter scrutiny and less tolerance for opaque related‑party dealings. For competitors and consolidators, the shake‑out creates opportunities to buy assets or market share at fire‑sale valuations — but only if they can rebuild genuine retail demand rather than replicate the same overlay of prestige marketing. In the shorter term expect restructuring efforts, asset disposals and renewed regulatory attention; in the longer term the baijiu category will likely polarise into a smaller set of resilient incumbents and a larger group of distressed producers forced into consolidation or exit.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

At the start of 2026 one of China’s most conspicuous crossover bets — an exhibition and property magnate’s plunge into high‑end baijiu — has run aground. Public tax filings show two companies tied to Deng Hong’s Hengchang distillery owe a combined 132 million yuan in unpaid taxes, triggering a stark reversal for a brand that once boasted double‑digit sales and ambitions to challenge Moutai’s rarified tier.

The sums are concrete: Hengchang’s production arm is listed with roughly 92.8 million yuan of unpaid consumption tax and some 11.8 million yuan in value‑added tax arrears, while the sales company has nearly 9.0 million yuan of unpaid corporate income tax. The legal representative for both firms is Zhang Jiahao, Deng’s son and the ostensible steward of the branded group, underscoring that the liabilities sit at the centre of the family’s commercial web.

Hengchang’s fall is more than a single corporate failure; it is a case study of how a frothy segment of China’s liquor market — the so‑called jiang‑flavour (酱酒) premium category — expanded on borrowed narratives and fragile channel economics. Deng entered the sector in 2017, leveraging celebrity partnerships, real‑estate scale projects and conspicuous sponsorships (including a six‑year run as the sole sponsor of the Hurun Rich List) to sell an image: that Hengchang was a modern heir to Maotai’s provenance.

That branding strategy papered over deeper mismatches. Hengchang promoted a flagship “classic” retailing at 1,599 yuan to sit in the sub‑Moutai premium tier, yet on mainstream platforms such as 1919 and e‑commerce channels the bottle recently traded at 300–400 yuan — a price inversion of over 70 per cent. Dealers, unable to sustain margins, have been forced to cut prices or dump stock, while distressed transfers of product as debt repayment (so‑called "debt‑settlement liquor") from property partners flooded markets and accelerated the collapse of the brand’s price architecture.

The wider industry backdrop helps explain why this happened so fast. Data from a jiangjiu research studio show capacity for sauce‑flavour liquor fell 13.33 per cent year‑on‑year in 2024 — the first contraction in six years — as consumer spending shifted, business hospitality declined and inventories accumulated. That structural slowdown exposed companies that had pursued rapid scale through high leverage, aggressive pre‑sale tactics and aspirational positioning rather than durable consumer loyalty.

Hengchang’s earlier capital plans now look quixotic. In 2021 Deng and partners announced plans to pour more than 10 billion yuan into a “wine‑tourism and art” mega‑estate in Maotai town, a project meant to cement brand legitimacy. With cash flows strained, fixed costs from large estates and heavy excise tax obligations became liabilities; high inventory at the distillery likely contributed to the enormous consumption‑tax bill, suggesting production outpaced genuine market demand.

Regulatory and reputational missteps compounded the problem. Hengchang’s marketing that leaned on Maotai’s historical lineage drew administrative penalties for false advertising in 2022, undermining the upscale story it had sold to wealthy patrons and institutional partners. When the real‑estate network that fed the brand’s privileged channels — including Rongchuang (Sun Hongbin) and prominent retail partners — began to fatigue, the propped‑up sales funnel promptly drained.

For investors and executives watching China’s liquor sector, Hengchang’s plight signals a broader shake‑out. The contagion has reached mid‑sized and formerly respectable names in Guizhou, with other distillers also surfacing in tax and enforcement notices. The lesson is plain: brand theatre and closed‑circle sales cannot substitute for resilient retail traction and conservative balance‑sheet management when a cycle turns.

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