Iran Signals Flexibility on Enrichment but Warns Talks May Move as Muscat Round Ends

Iran signalled cautious flexibility in indirect talks with the United States, saying the second round’s venue may change while reiterating opposition to exporting uranium but openness to reduced enrichment levels. Tehran stressed it does not want regional war but warned that U.S. military action would complicate negotiations, which remain contingent on an environment free of threats and pressure.

Fisheye lens captures graffiti inside an abandoned Chernobyl reactor.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Iran’s foreign minister said the location for a second round of indirect talks with the U.S. may change after an initial meeting in Muscat on Feb. 6.
  • 2Tehran opposes transferring uranium out of the country but is prepared to lower enrichment levels — a potential technical compromise.
  • 3Iran warned that it does not want regional war, but any U.S. attack would complicate and impact the situation.
  • 4Both sides agreed to continue negotiations, while insisting that threats and coercion must be avoided for dialogue to proceed.

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Strategic Analysis

Araghchi’s comments reveal a calibrated Iranian strategy: offer limited, verifiable concessions on enrichment to create diplomatic space while protecting the political and symbolic principle that nuclear material remain under Tehran’s control. Signalling a possible venue change is a small but meaningful lever — it gives Iran room to shape the diplomacy’s optics and safeguards. The insistence that talks proceed without threats is aimed at constraining U.S. options and reassuring regional partners, but it also reflects domestic pressures in Tehran where hardliners could seize on any perceived capitulation. The negotiations’ success will hinge on the credibility of verification mechanisms and sequencing of concessions versus sanctions relief; absent clear incentives and confidence‑building steps, indirect diplomacy risks protracted stalemate or collapse if military incidents occur.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Iran’s foreign minister, Araghchi, said on February 7 that the venue for a second round of indirect talks with the United States may change, underlining Tehran’s cautious approach to a delicate bargaining process that began with a meeting in Muscat on February 6. The two sides met indirectly in Oman’s capital and agreed to continue talks, a modestly positive opening that nonetheless rests on fragile preconditions.

Araghchi reiterated a core Iranian red line: Tehran opposes transferring uranium out of the country, but he said Iran is prepared to reduce its enrichment levels. That formulation signals a willingness to make a technical concession while guarding the sovereignty and symbolic importance of domestic control over nuclear material.

The foreign minister also stressed that Iran does not want a regional war and that neighbouring states similarly seek to avoid conflict, but he warned that any American military action would complicate the situation and have consequential effects. His remarks stressed deterrence and were designed to place responsibility for escalation squarely on potential U.S. kinetic steps.

The Muscat talks were indirect and mediated by Oman, a familiar interlocutor between Tehran and Washington. Araghchi’s suggestion that the next round’s location could change points to operational and political sensitivities: a different host might offer more neutrality, security guarantees, or diplomatic cover for either side to make concessions without domestic backlash.

Why this matters: the negotiations touch on Iran’s nuclear program, non‑proliferation goals and regional stability. A compromise that lowers enrichment levels without moving uranium abroad could limit Iran’s near‑term breakout capacity while preserving Tehran’s claims of sovereignty, but success will depend on sequencing, verifiable inspection arrangements and credible assurances that threats and pressure will be removed from the table.

Observers should watch three things next: which third‑party state hosts the next round, the technical details and verification terms of any enrichment rollback, and whether either side seeks to link the talks to broader regional security or sanctions relief. The outcome will shape not only U.S.–Iran dynamics but also calculations in Israel, the Gulf monarchies and among European mediators.

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